Texas: Clinton and Trump neck-and-neck in new CBS News/YouGov poll

Results of a new poll administered by CBS News/YouGov were announced. The poll asked participants from Texas for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.

According to the results, 43.0% of respondents plan to cast a ballot for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, while 46.0% are going to vote for real estate developer Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted from October 20 to October 21. A total of 1031 likely voters responded.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, one should not be overly confident the results of an individual poll. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, you should rely on combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, you can translate them into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 48.3% for Clinton and 51.7% for Trump.

Comparison to other polls

Trump currently runs at 52.8% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent polls in Texas. This value is 1.1 percentage points higher than his corresponding numbers in the CBS News/YouGov poll.

The poll compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 54.1% of the two-party vote in Texas. Hence, the PollyVote is 2.4 points above his polling numbers.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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