Tennessee: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

The Jerome model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 47.9% for Clinton, and 52.2% for Trump in Tennessee. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to win only 47.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models may include large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice is to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 58.8% of the two-party vote in Tennessee. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 6.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Tennessee.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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