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Tennessee: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

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The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 47.9% of the two-party vote share in Tennessee, while Trump will win 52.2%. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to gain only 47.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they often incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 58.8% of the two-party vote in Tennessee. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 6.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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