Tennessee: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 42.3% for Clinton, and 57.7% for Trump in Tennessee.
Putting the results in context
Individual models often contain substantial errors, and should be treated with caution. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 59.0% of the two-party vote in Tennessee. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Tennessee.