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Tennessee: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 42.3% of the two-party vote share in Tennessee, whereas Trump will end up with 57.7%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models may include substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which incorporates different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 59.0% of the two-party vote in Tennessee. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.3 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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