The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 42.3% of the two-party vote share in Tennessee, whereas Trump will end up with 57.7%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models may include substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which incorporates different data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 59.0% of the two-party vote in Tennessee. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.3 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.