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South Dakota: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

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The Jerome model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 43.0% of the two-party vote share in South Dakota, while Trump will win 57.0%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, forecasting research recommends to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which relies on different data.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 58.7% of the two-party vote in South Dakota. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.7 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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