The Jerome model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 43.0% of the two-party vote share in South Dakota, while Trump will win 57.0%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, forecasting research recommends to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which relies on different data.
The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 58.7% of the two-party vote in South Dakota. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.7 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.