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DeSart & Holbrook model in South Dakota: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will garner 42.6% of the two-party vote share in South Dakota, while Trump will end up with 57.4%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they sometimes incorporate large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 59.4% of the two-party vote in South Dakota. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 2.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in South Dakota.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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