The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 46.9% for Clinton, and 53.1% for Trump in South Carolina. In comparison, on October 12 Trump was still predicted to garner 53.4% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be treated with caution, because they can incorporate substantial biases. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 54.5% of the two-party vote in South Carolina. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 1.4 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in South Carolina.