The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 53.9% for Clinton, and 46.1% for Trump in Oregon. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to achieve 54.2% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be interpreted with caution, because they may include substantial errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 57.0% of the two-party vote in Oregon. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.