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DeSart & Holbrook model in Oklahoma: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 35.7% of the two-party vote share in Oklahoma, whereas Trump will win 64.3%. In comparison, on October 22 Trump was still predicted to win 65.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, a good strategy is to not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice is to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 64.0% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 0.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Oklahoma.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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