Oklahoma: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 34.1% of the two-party vote share in Oklahoma, whereas Trump will end up with 65.9%. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to gain 34.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, as they often incorporate large biases. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 62.9% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 3.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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