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DeSart & Holbrook model in Ohio: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 51.2% of the two-party vote share in Ohio, whereas Trump will end up with 48.8%. In comparison, on October 22 Trump was predicted to win 48.8% of the vote.

Ohio is traditionally a swing state, where the two major political parties have often won similar levels of support among voters. This is the reason why the election outcome in that state is regarded crucial in determining which party will win the majority of electoral votes.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be interpreted with caution, since they often include substantial biases. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 50.8% of the two-party vote in Ohio. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Ohio.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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