North Dakota: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 44.5% of the two-party vote share in North Dakota, whereas Trump will win 55.5%. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 44.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, since they sometimes contain large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 59.2% of the two-party vote in North Dakota. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 3.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in North Dakota.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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