The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 50.4% of the two-party vote share in North Carolina, whereas Trump will win 49.6%. In comparison, on October 22 Trump was still predicted to collect 49.7% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, one should not be overly confident the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 50.0% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.