Hit enter after type your search item

DeSart & Holbrook model in North Carolina: Clinton is in the lead

/
/
/
15 Views

The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 50.4% of the two-party vote share in North Carolina, whereas Trump will win 49.6%. In comparison, on October 22 Trump was still predicted to collect 49.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, one should not be overly confident the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 50.0% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

This div height required for enabling the sticky sidebar