The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 59.0% for Clinton, and 41.0% for Trump in New York. In comparison, on October 12 Trump was still predicted to win 41.1% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models can include large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 63.2% of the two-party vote in New York. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 4.2 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.