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New York: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead


The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 59.0% for Clinton, and 41.0% for Trump in New York. In comparison, on October 12 Trump was still predicted to win 41.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models can include large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 63.2% of the two-party vote in New York. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 4.2 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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