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New Mexico: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 52.2% for Clinton, and 47.8% for Trump in New Mexico.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, don't be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 56.3% of the two-party vote in New Mexico. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 4.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in New Mexico.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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