New Mexico: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead

The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 52.2% for Clinton, and 47.8% for Trump in New Mexico.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they can incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 56.3% of the two-party vote in New Mexico. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 4.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in New Mexico.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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