DeSart & Holbrook model in New Mexico: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 55.6% of the two-party vote share in New Mexico, while Trump will win 44.4%. In comparison, on October 22, Clinton was predicted to achieve 55.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models can include substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 56.0% of the two-party vote in New Mexico. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.4 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in New Mexico.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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