The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 55.6% of the two-party vote share in New Mexico, while Trump will win 44.4%. In comparison, on October 22, Clinton was predicted to achieve 55.7% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models can include substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 56.0% of the two-party vote in New Mexico. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.4 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in New Mexico.