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Nevada: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently predicts a major vote share of 52.2% for Clinton, and 47.8% for Trump in Nevada.

In Nevada, the popular vote is usually decided by a narrow margin. This is the reason why the state is commonly viewed as a purple state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they may contain large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 52.4% of the two-party vote in Nevada. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.2 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Nevada.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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