Nebraska: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 41.6% for Clinton, and 58.4% for Trump in Nebraska.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which includes different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 59.9% of the two-party vote in Nebraska. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 1.5 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Nebraska.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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