Nebraska: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead
The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 41.6% for Clinton, and 58.4% for Trump in Nebraska.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which includes different data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 59.9% of the two-party vote in Nebraska. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 1.5 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Nebraska.