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Nebraska: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will receive 38.9% of the two-party vote share in Nebraska, whereas Trump will win 61.1%. In comparison, on October 22, Clinton was predicted to collect 39.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 60.0% of the two-party vote in Nebraska. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Nebraska.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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