The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 45.3% of the two-party vote share in Montana, whereas Trump will win 54.7%.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be interpreted with caution, as they often incorporate large errors. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 56.4% of the two-party vote in Montana. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.7 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.