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Montana: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead


The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 45.3% of the two-party vote share in Montana, whereas Trump will win 54.7%.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be interpreted with caution, as they often incorporate large errors. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 56.4% of the two-party vote in Montana. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.7 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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