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DeSart & Holbrook model in Montana: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently predicts a major vote share of 42.0% for Clinton, and 58.0% for Trump in Montana.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they may contain large errors. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 56.6% of the two-party vote in Montana. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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