The Jerome model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 46.3% for Clinton, and 53.7% for Trump in Mississippi. In comparison, on October 12 Trump was still predicted to win 53.8% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be interpreted with caution, as they often include substantial errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, the best practice is to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The latest PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 55.3% of the two-party vote in Mississippi. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 1.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Mississippi.