Mississippi: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

The Jerome model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently predicts a major vote share of 46.3% for Clinton, and 53.7% for Trump in Mississippi. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to collect only 46.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be interpreted with caution, because they may contain large biases. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 55.3% of the two-party vote in Mississippi. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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