Mississippi: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 43.0% of the two-party vote share in Mississippi, whereas Trump will end up with 57.0%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, you should not put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single models, one should rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 55.2% of the two-party vote in Mississippi. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.8 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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