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Minnesota: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead


The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 58.5% for Clinton, and 41.5% for Trump in Minnesota. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was still predicted to win 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be interpreted with caution, since they can contain substantial errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, one should use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 55.4% of the two-party vote in Minnesota. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 3.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Minnesota.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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