The Jerome model provided an updated forecast of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 58.5% for Clinton, and 41.5% for Trump in Minnesota. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to collect only 41.5% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be treated with caution, since they often contain large biases. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 55.4% of the two-party vote in Minnesota. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 3.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Minnesota.