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Minnesota: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead


The Jerome model provided an updated forecast of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 58.5% for Clinton, and 41.5% for Trump in Minnesota. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to collect only 41.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, since they often contain large biases. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 55.4% of the two-party vote in Minnesota. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 3.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Minnesota.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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