The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 53.7% for Clinton, and 46.4% for Trump in Minnesota. In comparison, on October 20 Trump was predicted to achieve 46.1% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models may contain large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 55.4% of the two-party vote in Minnesota. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.7 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.