Minnesota: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 53.7% for Clinton, and 46.4% for Trump in Minnesota. In comparison, on October 20 Trump was predicted to achieve 46.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models may contain large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 55.4% of the two-party vote in Minnesota. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.7 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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