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Michigan: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead


The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 55.3% for Clinton, and 44.7% for Trump in Michigan. In comparison, on October 12 Trump was still predicted to gain 44.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be interpreted with caution, because they may incorporate substantial errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 54.6% of the two-party vote in Michigan. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 0.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Michigan.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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