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Michigan: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead


The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 55.3% of the two-party vote share in Michigan, while Trump will win 44.7%. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to gain only 55.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, as they often incorporate substantial errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 54.6% of the two-party vote in Michigan. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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