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DeSart & Holbrook model in Michigan: Clinton is in the lead


The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 55.9% of the two-party vote share in Michigan, whereas Trump will end up with 44.1%. In comparison, on October 22, Clinton was predicted to gain 56.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be interpreted with caution, since they often include large errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 54.1% of the two-party vote in Michigan. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.8 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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