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Massachusetts: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 61.9% for Clinton, and 38.1% for Trump in Massachusetts. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 61.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, a good strategy is to not be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 64.5% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 2.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Massachusetts.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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