Maryland: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead

The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will garner 61.1% of the two-party vote share in Maryland, whereas Trump will win 39.0%. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to win only 60.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 65.7% of the two-party vote in Maryland. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 4.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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