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Maryland: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently predicts a major vote share of 61.1% for Clinton, and 39.0% for Trump in Maryland. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 60.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they can incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 65.7% of the two-party vote in Maryland. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 4.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Maryland.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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