Louisiana: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently predicts a major vote share of 46.8% for Clinton, and 53.2% for Trump in Louisiana. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 46.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, you should not rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 58.5% of the two-party vote in Louisiana. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 5.3 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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