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Louisiana: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

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The Jerome model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 46.8% for Clinton, and 53.2% for Trump in Louisiana. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 46.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, because they can contain substantial errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, one should consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 58.5% of the two-party vote in Louisiana. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 5.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Louisiana.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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