Louisiana: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 43.0% for Clinton, and 57.0% for Trump in Louisiana. In comparison, on October 20 Trump was predicted to collect 56.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be treated with caution, since they can incorporate large biases. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 58.3% of the two-party vote in Louisiana. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.3 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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