Jerome model in Wisconsin: Clinton is in the lead

The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 55.3% for Clinton, and 44.7% for Trump in Wisconsin. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to collect only 55.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models may incorporate large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 54.0% of the two-party vote in Wisconsin. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 1.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Wisconsin.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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