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Jerome model in Washington: Clinton is in the lead

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The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a major vote share of 53.0% for Clinton, and 47.0% for Trump in Washington. In comparison, on October 12 Trump was still predicted to garner 47.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models can incorporate large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, the recommended strategy rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which relies on different data.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 58.6% of the two-party vote in Washington. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 5.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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