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Jerome model in Vermont: Clinton is in the lead


The Jerome model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 54.3% for Clinton, and 45.7% for Trump in Vermont. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to gain only 54.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, since they may contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 67.1% of the two-party vote in Vermont. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 12.8 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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