Jerome model in Utah: Trump is in the lead

The Jerome model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 35.5% of the two-party vote share in Utah, whereas Trump will win 64.5%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they may incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the recommended strategy rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 59.2% of the two-party vote in Utah. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 5.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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