The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 46.9% of the two-party vote share in South Carolina, while Trump will end up with 53.1%. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to win only 46.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models can include large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 54.5% of the two-party vote in South Carolina. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 1.4 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in South Carolina.