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Jerome model in Rhode Island: Clinton is in the lead

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The Jerome model provided an updated forecast of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 61.7% for Clinton, and 38.3% for Trump in Rhode Island.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they sometimes incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, the recommended strategy look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which relies on different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 61.0% of the two-party vote in Rhode Island. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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