The Jerome model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 53.9% for Clinton, and 46.1% for Trump in Oregon. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to end up with 54.2% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be interpreted with caution, as they often incorporate large biases. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the recommended strategy consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 57.0% of the two-party vote in Oregon. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.