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Jerome model in Oregon: Clinton is in the lead

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The Jerome model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 53.9% for Clinton, and 46.1% for Trump in Oregon. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to end up with 54.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be interpreted with caution, as they often incorporate large biases. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the recommended strategy consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 57.0% of the two-party vote in Oregon. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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