The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will receive 43.1% of the two-party vote share in Oklahoma, whereas Trump will win 56.9%. In comparison, on October 12 Trump was predicted to obtain 56.8% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models may contain large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, you should use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.
The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 62.8% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 5.9 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Oklahoma.