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Jerome model in Oklahoma: Trump is in the lead

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The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will receive 43.1% of the two-party vote share in Oklahoma, whereas Trump will win 56.9%. In comparison, on October 12 Trump was predicted to obtain 56.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models may contain large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, you should use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 62.8% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 5.9 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Oklahoma.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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