The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 44.5% for Clinton, and 55.5% for Trump in North Dakota. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to collect only 44.3% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be treated with caution, because they often include substantial errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 59.2% of the two-party vote in North Dakota. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 3.7 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.