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Jerome model in North Dakota: Trump is in the lead

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The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 44.5% for Clinton, and 55.5% for Trump in North Dakota. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to collect only 44.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, because they often include substantial errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 59.2% of the two-party vote in North Dakota. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 3.7 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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