Jerome model in Nebraska: Trump is in the lead
The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently predicts a major vote share of 41.6% for Clinton, and 58.4% for Trump in Nebraska.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they often incorporate large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 59.9% of the two-party vote in Nebraska. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 1.5 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Nebraska.