Jerome model in Nebraska: Trump is in the lead

The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently predicts a major vote share of 41.6% for Clinton, and 58.4% for Trump in Nebraska.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they often incorporate large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 59.9% of the two-party vote in Nebraska. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 1.5 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Nebraska.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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