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Jerome model in Montana: Trump is in the lead

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The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 45.3% of the two-party vote share in Montana, whereas Trump will win 54.7%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they often contain large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice is to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 56.4% of the two-party vote in Montana. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 1.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Montana.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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