The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 47.2% for Clinton, and 52.8% for Trump in Missouri. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to collect 47.4% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 53.6% of the two-party vote in Missouri. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.8 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.